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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	-	2.15	1.93	1.5
Away	1	0	0	6	3	3	3	-	2.5	1.93	1.68	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.1	3	2.4	1.5	1.36	1.33	-	-	-	-	1.1	7	1.44	2.75

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +24.5% | EV +47.2% | ROI NA | n=1636 | k=1.92

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +14.5% | EV +21.8% | ROI NA | n=1636 | k=1.50

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +4.4% | EV +12.1% | ROI +2.4% | n=1636 | k=2.75

4) No Bet | HOME | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.5% | ROI -6.7% | n=1636 | k=3.10

AI-agent: At the 21st minute in the Vallecano vs Sociedad match, the score is tied 1-1 with no red cards. The market shows increased confidence in a draw, reflected by a 9% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Sociedad has been more active in shots and overall play, maintaining pressure without dominance from either side recently. Historical data for similar situations suggests a strong edge for a +1.5 handicap on Vallecano, but the model's entry condition is not fully confirmed due to weak historical validation. Top-4 markets recommend watching the +1 and +1.5 handicaps with positive expected value but advise caution as this is a monitoring phase rather than a firm bet opportunity.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 21