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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	-	-	2.1	1.8	1.43
Away	1	0	0	6	3	3	3	-	2.75	2.05	1.77	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3	2.88	2.6	1.44	1.36	1.36	-	-	-	-	1.12	6	1.61	2.3

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +15.5% | EV +22.1% | ROI +29.4% | n=217 | k=1.42

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +26.1% | EV +47.1% | ROI +46.8% | n=217 | k=1.80

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +4.4% | EV +10.2% | ROI +14.5% | n=217 | k=2.30

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.5% | EV +9.0% | ROI -0.5% | n=217 | k=6.00

AI-agent: At 34 minutes into the Vallecano vs Sociedad match, the score is tied 1-1 with no red cards. The market favors a draw, with odds dropping 13% from pre-match levels reflecting the current scoreline. The game has been balanced, though Sociedad has been more active in shots, and neither side is sustaining strong pressure recently. Historical data supports a bet on Vallecano with a +1.5 handicap, showing a 90.8% win rate and a 29.4% ROI over 217 similar matches. The model confirms this with a 15.5% edge and 22.1% expected value at odds of 1.43, but no new bet is opened since this position is already held or covered. Among top markets, the best bet remains AH_HOME+1.5, offering a solid edge and EV, while other options like AH_HOME+1 and under 3.5 goals are watch-only, suggesting monitoring rather than mandatory entry. This is a situation to consider risk control carefully before placing new stakes.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 34