Live Matches

← Back Step 43 of 93 Forward → Start Finish Archive

Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	5	1	4	2	-	-	-	1.82	1.8	1.43
Away	1	0	0	6	3	3	4	-	2.75	2.05	2.02	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.75	2.62	3.1	1.33	1.44	1.4	-	-	-	-	1.22	4.33	1.98	1.88

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +19.5% | EV +27.8% | ROI +28.0% | n=295 | k=1.42

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +31.6% | EV +56.8% | ROI +43.0% | n=295 | k=1.80

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +4.6% | EV +8.7% | ROI +13.8% | n=295 | k=1.88

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +2.0% | EV +8.5% | ROI -1.6% | n=295 | k=4.33

AI-agent: At the 45th minute with the score tied at 1-1 between Vallecano and Sociedad, the market shows strong support for a draw, with odds dropping 24% from pre-match levels. The game has been balanced, though Sociedad has been more active in shots, while Vallecano is applying pressure in the latest phase. Historical data for similar situations strongly favors a home handicap +1.5, with an 89.8% win rate and a 28.0% ROI, confirming a solid edge. The model confirms this with a +19.5% edge and +27.8% expected value at odds of 1.43, though no new bet is opened as this position is already covered. Among top markets, the best bet is on AH_HOME+1.5, offering a good risk-reward profile, while other options like AH_HOME+1 and under goals are on watch, indicating a monitoring phase rather than mandatory entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 45