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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	5	1	4	2	-	-	-	2.02	1.8	1.43
Away	1	0	0	7	3	4	4	-	2.75	2.05	1.82	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.4	2.25	3.1	1.33	1.57	1.3	-	-	-	-	1.36	3.2	2.75	1.44

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +23.2% | EV +33.1% | ROI +36.0% | n=352 | k=1.42

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +35.7% | EV +64.3% | ROI +54.1% | n=352 | k=1.80

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +2.3% | EV +7.3% | ROI +19.1% | n=352 | k=3.20

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +2.1% | EV +3.1% | ROI +9.5% | n=352 | k=1.44

AI-agent: At the 57th minute in this tight LaLiga match between Vallecano and Sociedad, the score is level at 1-1. Market activity shows a strong lean towards a draw, with odds dropping 32% from pre-match levels, reflecting the balanced but slightly more active play from Sociedad, especially in shots. Historical data supports a bet on Vallecano with a +1.5 Asian Handicap, showing a 95.5% win rate and a 36% ROI over 352 similar matches, confirming a solid edge and expected value. The model confirms this bet with a 23.2% edge and 33.1% EV, though no new position is opened as it may already be covered. Top-4 markets recommend betting on AH +1.5 for Vallecano with risk control, while other options like AH +1 and under 2.5 or 3.5 goals are on watch, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 57