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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	11	5	6	4	-	-	-	1.95	1.65	3.55
Away	3	0	0	11	7	4	4	-	1.27	2.3	1.9	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
51	17	1.02	17	1.02	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +40.2% | EV +92.3% | ROI +91.3% | n=53 | k=2.30

2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -3.4% | EV -12.2% | ROI +0.5% | n=53 | k=3.55

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -44.2% | EV -73.0% | ROI -70.5% | n=53 | k=1.65

AI-agent: At the 81st minute, Sociedad leads Vallecano 3-1 in this LaLiga match. Market pressure strongly favors the away side, with odds dropping 61% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current scoreline and match dynamics. Sociedad has been more active in shots, confirming their dominance despite a brief, unstable surge from Vallecano. Historical data supports a -1 handicap on Sociedad with a 97.4% win rate and a strong ROI of 91.3%, validated by 53 similar matches. The model confirms this bet with a significant edge of +40.2% and expected value of +92.3%, though no new bet is opened as the position is already covered. This is a clear opportunity to consider backing Sociedad with a -1 handicap, but risk control remains important given the match context.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 81