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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	20	6	14	6	-	-	-	1.95	1.65	1.1
Away	3	0	0	12	7	5	4	-	6.8	2.3	1.9	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
17	1.05	19	1.44	1.3	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +30.5% | EV +50.3% | ROI +3.1% | n=51 | k=1.65

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +19.4% | EV +27.2% | ROI +34.5% | n=51 | k=1.40

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +21.8% | EV +31.5% | ROI -88.7% | n=51 | k=1.44

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -34.6% | EV -79.5% | ROI -5.3% | n=51 | k=2.30

AI-agent: At the 90th minute, the score is tied 3-3 between Vallecano and Sociedad, with no red cards. The market shows no strong signals or significant odds drop from pre-match levels, reflecting a balanced but active game, especially from the home side in the final phase. Historical data supports a +1 handicap for Vallecano with an 80% win probability and a modest positive ROI, confirming some edge. The best model suggestion is AH_HOME+1 at 1.65 odds with a 30.5% edge and 50.3% expected value, but the entry window closed after the 86th minute. Top-4 markets recommend watching AH_HOME+1 and double chance options rather than betting now, indicating a monitoring situation rather than a clear entry. The historical check is solid, but current timing limits new bets, so caution is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 90