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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	22	7	15	6	-	-	-	1.95	1.65	1.1
Away	3	0	0	12	7	5	4	-	6.8	2.3	1.9	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.7	3.3	2.6	1.44	1.3	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | DRAW | Edge +53.1% | EV +175.1% | ROI +143.9% | n=23 | k=3.30

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +31.2% | EV +51.4% | ROI +59.3% | n=23 | k=1.65

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +22.5% | EV +32.5% | ROI +31.8% | n=23 | k=1.44

4) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +20.1% | EV +28.2% | ROI +15.7% | n=23 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At the 90th minute, the score is tied 3-3 between Vallecano and Sociedad in a closely contested LaLiga match. The home team has shown more attacking intent, especially in the final stages, creating pressure despite the draw. Historical data for similar situations suggests a strong likelihood of a draw with a positive ROI, but the sample size is below the preferred threshold, making the historical confirmation weak. The model indicates a favorable edge and expected value for a draw, yet the betting window for this market closed after the 86th minute. Current top market options recommend monitoring the draw and handicap bets rather than placing new wagers, emphasizing risk control in this late, balanced phase of the game.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391135 | minute: 90