Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	3.1	1.45	-
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	-	-	2.67	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.33	3.6	1.8	1.91	1.25	1.2	-	-	1.1	7	1.5	2.62	2.62	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.2% | EV +5.8% | ROI +14.3% | n=376 | k=2.67

2) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.2% | ROI +2.1% | n=376 | k=1.50

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -5.1% | EV -7.6% | ROI -13.4% | n=376 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -5.5% | EV -14.6% | ROI -16.2% | n=376 | k=2.62

AI-agent: At 15 minutes into the match, Elche leads Oviedo 1-0 with no red cards. The market is increasingly favoring Elche, with odds dropping 61% from pre-match levels, reflecting their current pressure and shot dominance. Historical data supports a bet on Elche with a -1 handicap, showing a 44.4% win probability and a positive ROI of 14.3%, but the model's edge of +2.2% is just below the threshold for placing a bet. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry, and caution is advised despite the promising expected value. Both teams are playing at a slower pace than their last meeting, and the scoreline aligns with the match flow so far.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391136 | minute: 15