Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	-	-	-	1.57	3.3	2.1
Away	2	0	0	3	3	0	0	-	1.7	1.32	2.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
17	7	1.17	5	1.1	1.02	-	-	-	-	1.22	4.33	2.05	1.8

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -5.2% | EV -8.8% | ROI +6.7% | n=153 | k=1.70

2) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.0% | EV -1.3% | ROI +0.1% | n=153 | k=1.32

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -1.3% | EV -2.7% | ROI -21.8% | n=153 | k=2.10

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -4.5% | EV -8.1% | ROI -15.3% | n=153 | k=1.80

AI-agent: At the 40th minute in Oviedo vs Elche, the score is 0-2 with Elche leading. Market pressure favors the away side, with odds dropping significantly from pre-match levels, reflecting their current advantage and more active shot attempts. The match tempo is balanced without sustained pressure from either side recently. Historical data is weak but passed checks, showing a low probability for a home win despite the model suggesting it as the best option with a modest edge and positive expected value. However, the entry conditions for a bet on Oviedo have not been met yet, so this remains a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity. Top-4 markets also do not recommend betting now, indicating caution due to negative expected values and edges across key handicaps and total goals markets.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391136 | minute: 40