Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	2	1	1	2	-	-	-	1.57	3.3	2.25
Away	2	0	0	3	3	0	0	-	1.62	1.32	2.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
21	8	1.12	6	1.08	1.01	-	-	-	-	1.3	3.5	2.35	1.57

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.0% | EV +1.4% | ROI +6.5% | n=175 | k=1.32

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.8% | ROI -26.7% | n=175 | k=2.25

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.9% | ROI -7.4% | n=175 | k=6.00

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -6.8% | EV -11.0% | ROI +9.6% | n=175 | k=1.62

AI-agent: At halftime, Elche leads Oviedo 2-0, with the market strongly favoring the away side as odds have dropped significantly from pre-match levels. The game has been fairly balanced, though Elche has been more active in shots, while Oviedo has applied pressure in the latest phase. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support a home win, with a negative ROI and a failed validation check. The model suggests a home win as the best option with positive expected value, but entry conditions are not met due to the current score and match tempo. Top-4 markets recommend monitoring the away handicap -1 and home handicap +1.5 with small positive edges, indicating a watch situation rather than a clear betting opportunity. Caution is advised given the current dynamics and historical uncertainty.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391136 | minute: 45