Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	1.6	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.3	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.25	3.25	3.25	1.33	1.33	1.57	1.08	8	1.4	3	2.25	1.62	4.33	1.22

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +4.6% | EV +15.0% | ROI +16.4% | n=2452 | k=3.25

2) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.7% | EV +3.7% | ROI +4.9% | n=2452 | k=2.25

3) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.0% | EV +1.3% | ROI +3.4% | n=2452 | k=1.40

4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -0.7% | EV -1.2% | ROI +2.7% | n=2452 | k=1.57

AI-agent: At 6 minutes into the Oviedo vs Elche match, the market shows increased confidence in the away side, with odds dropping 40% from pre-match levels considering the 0-0 scoreline. Shot data does not clearly favor either team, and there is no sustained pressure from one side recently, reflecting a balanced game pace slower than their last meeting. Historical data from 2452 similar matches supports an away win with a 35.8% probability and a positive ROI of 16.4%, confirming a fair value odds around 2.79. The model identifies an edge of +4.6% for an away win at odds 3.25, but this is below the minimum threshold of +6.0% to open a bet. Top-4 markets suggest watching the away win and over 2.5 goals options with modest edges but no mandatory bets yet. This is a monitoring phase where the model sees potential but advises waiting for stronger confirmation before placing a wager.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391136 | minute: 6