Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	1	2	2	-	-	-	1.57	3.3	2.35
Away	2	0	0	3	3	0	0	-	1.57	1.32	2.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
23	8.5	1.11	6.5	1.07	1.01	-	-	-	-	1.33	3.4	2.6	1.48

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.0% | EV +2.7% | ROI +10.0% | n=167 | k=1.32

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.7% | EV +4.0% | ROI -28.2% | n=167 | k=2.35

3) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.1% | ROI -8.2% | n=167 | k=1.33

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -7.7% | EV -12.2% | ROI +9.4% | n=167 | k=1.57

AI-agent: At the 50th minute in Oviedo vs Elche, Elche leads 2-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the away team, reflected in a 65% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The game has been close, with Elche more active in shots, though Oviedo is pressing recently. Historical data for similar scenarios is weak and does not support a home win, showing a negative ROI and failed validation. The model suggests a home win with positive edge and EV, but entry conditions are not met due to current score and match tempo. Top-4 markets recommend watching but not betting now, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity. Caution is advised given the current match dynamics and historical uncertainty.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391136 | minute: 50