Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	7	2	5	4	-	-	-	1.57	3.3	3.1
Away	2	0	0	3	3	0	0	-	1.35	1.32	2.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
51	15	1.03	13	1.03	1	-	-	-	-	1.88	1.98	5.5	1.14

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +8.0% | EV +10.6% | ROI +23.1% | n=174 | k=1.32

2) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +2.2% | EV +4.1% | ROI -23.5% | n=174 | k=1.88

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.6% | EV +14.1% | ROI -48.3% | n=174 | k=3.10

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -6.1% | EV -12.1% | ROI +16.9% | n=174 | k=1.98

AI-agent: At 72 minutes, Elche leads Oviedo 2-0, with market pressure favoring the away side as odds dropped significantly from pre-match levels. Despite Elche's lead, the shot data does not clearly support dominance, and Oviedo has been pressing in recent minutes. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, where Oviedo led 1-0 at this stage. Historical data for similar scenarios is weak and does not support a reliable bet, with a negative ROI and failed validation. The model suggests a 1X bet (home team not to lose) with a positive edge and expected value, but the historical check advises caution. The top-4 markets recommend watching the Asian Handicap on Elche -1 and other options, but no confident bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation rather than a clear entry opportunity, so risk control is essential.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391136 | minute: 72