Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	10	3	7	5	-	-	-	1.57	1.45	1.11
Away	2	0	0	4	4	0	0	-	6.4	2.8	2.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
51	5	1.17	5	1.17	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	3.25	1.35

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +18.3% | EV +26.5% | ROI -3.5% | n=202 | k=1.45

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +1.8% | EV +9.1% | ROI -45.5% | n=202 | k=5.00

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -5.3% | EV -7.1% | ROI +9.6% | n=202 | k=1.35

4) No Bet | DRAW | Edge -5.8% | EV -29.1% | ROI -48.0% | n=202 | k=5.00

AI-agent: At the 88th minute, Elche leads Oviedo 2-1 with no red cards shown. Market pressure favors the away side, with odds dropping 64% from pre-match levels, reflecting confidence despite no clear shot dominance. The home team is pressing strongly in the final stages, but the game remains balanced overall. Historical data on similar situations shows a slight edge for Oviedo with AH +1 handicap, but the ROI is negative and the model's entry window has closed after the 86th minute. The best current bet is AH Oviedo +1 at 1.45 odds, offering positive expected value and edge, yet this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet due to historical and timing constraints. Monitoring is advised rather than aggressive entry now.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391136 | minute: 88