Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	11	3	8	6	-	-	-	1.57	1.45	1.11
Away	2	0	0	4	4	0	1	-	6.4	2.8	2.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
101	6.5	1.11	6.5	1.11	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	4.1	1.23

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.9% | EV +16.6% | ROI +2.6% | n=198 | k=2.80

2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -10.6% | EV -15.4% | ROI -2.5% | n=198 | k=1.45

AI-agent: At the 90th minute, Elche leads Oviedo 2-1 in a match showing no clear market signal or strong odds drop from pre-match levels. The shot data does not confirm dominance by either side, though Oviedo is applying pressure in the final phase. The current game closely resembles their previous encounter, which ended 1-0 to Oviedo. Historical data for home wins in similar situations is weak and unprofitable, with a negative ROI of -49%. The model favors a home win with a +6.5% edge and high expected value, but the betting window closed after the 86th minute. Top-4 market analysis suggests watching the Asian Handicap away -1 with moderate positive edge and EV, while betting on home +1 is not recommended due to negative expected returns. This is a monitoring scenario rather than a clear betting opportunity, and caution is advised given the uncertain game dynamics and historical weakness.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391136 | minute: 90