Match Replay

Step 8 of 72. Current minute: 11 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.85	1.43	-
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	-	-	2.75	1.4	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4	3.6	1.91	1.8	1.25	1.22	-	-	1.08	8	1.44	2.75	2.3	1.61

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.6% | EV +7.0% | ROI +19.8% | n=305 | k=2.75

2) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.0% | EV +0.0% | ROI +2.7% | n=305 | k=1.44

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -5.3% | EV -8.6% | ROI -12.1% | n=305 | k=1.61

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -5.6% | EV -15.5% | ROI -20.7% | n=305 | k=2.75

AI-agent: At 11 minutes, Elche leads Oviedo 1-0 in a match that has been closely contested but with Elche showing more attacking intent and pressure recently. The market has shifted significantly in favor of Elche, with odds dropping by 40% from pre-match levels reflecting the current score and match dynamics. Historical data on similar situations supports a bet on Elche with a -1 handicap, showing a positive ROI of nearly 20%, though the current model edge of +2.6% is just below the threshold for opening a bet. This is a watch situation rather than a mandatory entry, with the best option being the handicap on Elche at odds of 2.75, but caution is advised due to the edge not yet meeting the minimum criteria. Other markets like over 2.5 goals are neutral, while under 3.5 and under 2.5 goals are not recommended based on negative expected value.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391136 | minute: 11