Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.85	1.43	-
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	-	-	2.75	1.4	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4	3.6	1.83	1.83	1.25	1.22	-	-	1.08	8	1.44	2.75	2.38	1.57

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.9% | EV +8.1% | ROI +19.2% | n=323 | k=2.75

2) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.0% | EV +0.0% | ROI +1.5% | n=323 | k=1.44

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -5.6% | EV -8.8% | ROI -12.5% | n=323 | k=1.57

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -5.6% | EV -15.5% | ROI -18.3% | n=323 | k=2.75

AI-agent: At 12 minutes into the match, Elche leads Oviedo 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors Elche, with their odds dropping 43% from pre-match levels, reflecting their active play and recent dominance in shots. Historical data supports a bet on Elche -1 handicap with a 45.5% win probability and a positive ROI of 19.2%, but the current model edge of +2.9% is just below the minimum threshold for placing a bet. This suggests a cautious watch rather than a firm entry. The top markets confirm this view, recommending monitoring the Elche -1 handicap and over 2.5 goals options, while under bets show negative expected value. Overall, this is a monitoring situation with promising indicators but not yet a confirmed betting opportunity, so risk control is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391136 | minute: 12