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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	3	1.43	-
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	-	-	2.75	1.38	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4	3.6	1.83	1.83	1.25	1.22	-	-	1.1	7	1.5	2.62	2.5	1.53

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.6% | EV +7.2% | ROI +15.7% | n=359 | k=2.75

2) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.2% | ROI +3.6% | n=359 | k=1.50

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -5.3% | EV -8.2% | ROI -12.9% | n=359 | k=1.53

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -5.5% | EV -14.6% | ROI -18.8% | n=359 | k=2.62

AI-agent: At 14 minutes, Elche leads Oviedo 1-0 in a closely contested LaLiga match. The market strongly favors the away side, with the handicap AH_AWAY-1 showing a positive edge of +2.6% and an expected value of +7.2%, supported by historical data indicating a 43.9% win probability and a 15.7% ROI over 359 similar matches. However, the model's edge is just below the threshold for a confident bet, so this is a watch situation rather than a firm entry. The match tempo and shot statistics confirm Elche's growing pressure, aligning with the scoreline and recent head-to-head trends. Caution is advised, and monitoring the game further before committing is recommended.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391136 | minute: 14