Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	1.8	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.05	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.6	3	2.88	1.36	1.36	1.44	1.11	6.5	1.48	2.6	2.5	1.5	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.5% | EV +15.7% | ROI +2.0% | n=1889 | k=2.88

2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.5% | EV -3.7% | ROI -8.8% | n=1889 | k=1.50

3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.2% | EV -10.5% | ROI -2.1% | n=1889 | k=2.50

4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -0.9% | EV -1.3% | ROI -3.1% | n=1889 | k=1.44

AI-agent: At 15 minutes into the Valencia vs Girona match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is clearly favoring Girona, as their odds have dropped by 10% since pre-match, indicating strong backing. However, shot data does not confirm dominance by either side, and the tempo is slower compared to their last meeting. Historical data from 1889 similar matches shows a 35.5% probability of an away win with a modest positive ROI of 2.0%, and the model suggests Girona to win with an edge of +5.5% and expected value of +15.7%. Despite this, the edge is just below the minimum threshold of 6.0%, so no bet is opened yet. This is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, and caution is advised given the balanced game and moderate model confidence.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391137 | minute: 15