Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	6	0	6	2	-	3.1	1.93	1.62	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	2.25	1.93	1.35

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.36	4.33	12	1.04	1.2	3	-	-	1.38	3	2.75	1.43	7	1.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.9% | EV +3.7% | ROI +7.4% | n=427 | k=1.92

2) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -0.8% | EV -2.4% | ROI +5.4% | n=427 | k=3.00

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -1.9% | EV -2.6% | ROI +1.2% | n=427 | k=1.35

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -0.6% | EV -1.9% | ROI -12.2% | n=427 | k=3.00

AI-agent: At the 56th minute in Valencia's 1-0 lead over Girona, the market favors the home side with odds dropping 39% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score. However, shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team, and recent play shows no sustained pressure. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last encounter on 04.10.2025, which had a similar scoreline at this stage. Historical data supports a +1 Asian Handicap on Girona with a positive ROI of 7.4%, but the model's edge of +1.9% is below the threshold to place a bet now. This is a monitoring situation where the best option is to watch the +1 AH on Girona, considering the moderate expected value and risk control.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391137 | minute: 56