Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	10	3	7	3	-	4.5	1.88	1.62	-	-
Away	1	0	0	3	2	1	1	-	-	-	2.25	1.98	1.19

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.17	5.5	41	1	1.14	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	2.35	1.62

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +7.7% | EV +15.2% | ROI +0.1% | n=192 | k=1.98

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +5.7% | EV +28.4% | ROI -8.9% | n=192 | k=5.00

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +1.8% | EV +2.9% | ROI +4.1% | n=192 | k=1.62

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -11.7% | EV -21.9% | ROI -2.7% | n=192 | k=1.88

AI-agent: At the 81st minute with Valencia leading 2-1, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 48% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The game has been closely contested, with Valencia showing more shots but no sustained pressure recently. Historical data for similar situations supports a slight edge for Girona with the +1 Asian Handicap, showing a modest ROI of 0.1% over 192 matches. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1 at 1.98 odds as the best candidate with a 7.7% edge and 15.2% expected value, but entry conditions are not fully met given the current score and match tempo. Top-4 markets recommend watching AH_AWAY+1 and other options without mandatory bets, suggesting a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity. Caution is advised due to the balanced match dynamics and incomplete entry signals.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391137 | minute: 81