Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	10	3	7	3	-	6.8	1.9	1.62	-	-
Away	1	0	0	3	2	1	3	-	-	-	2.25	1.95	1.1

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.07	9	126	1.33	1.33	1.57	-	-	-	-	-	-	4.25	1.22

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +15.6% | EV +20.8% | ROI +32.0% | n=206 | k=1.33

2) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +15.1% | EV +20.2% | ROI +21.0% | n=206 | k=1.33

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +0.6% | EV +1.1% | ROI -3.2% | n=206 | k=1.90

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -4.5% | EV -8.7% | ROI +1.9% | n=206 | k=1.95

AI-agent: At the 90th minute with Valencia leading 2-1 against Girona, the market shows no strong signals or significant odds drop from pre-match levels. Shot statistics do not confirm dominance by either side, and recent play lacks sustained pressure. Historical data supports a high probability (99%) that Valencia will not lose, with a strong ROI of 32% on double chance 1X bets. The model favors 1X with a 15.6% edge and 20.8% expected value, but the entry window closed after the 86th minute. Top-4 markets suggest monitoring double chance 1X and DC12 as potential opportunities, while Asian handicap bets carry higher risk and are not recommended now. This is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing risk control given the current match dynamics and historical context.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391137 | minute: 90