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Step 11 of 64. Current minute: 17 .
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Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Ath Bilbao | 02.05.2026 | 21:30:00 | LIVE 17'   —   Alaves 1:0 Ath Bilbao
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Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 - - 2.42 1.98 - -
Away 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 - - - 1.88 1.52 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.73 3.6 4.75 1.17 1.25 2 - - 1.11 6.5 1.53 2.5 2.62 1.5
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.7% | EV -1.1% | ROI +2.8% | n=404 | k=1.53
2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.1% | EV -5.1% | ROI +11.7% | n=404 | k=2.42
3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -4.5% | EV -6.8% | ROI -10.5% | n=404 | k=1.50
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -4.7% | EV -7.2% | ROI -15.0% | n=404 | k=1.52
AI-agent: At 17 minutes into the match, Alaves leads Ath Bilbao 1-0 with no red cards. The market shows increased confidence in the home side, reflected by a 36% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The game has been fairly balanced, but Alaves has been more active in shots, although recent pressure has evened out. Historical data supports a total over 2.5 goals with a 67.1% chance and positive ROI, but the current model edge is slightly negative at -0.7%, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation rather than a clear entry opportunity, and caution is recommended given the model's expected negative value despite favorable history.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 17