Match Replay

Step 24 of 64. Current minute: 37 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	-	2.67	1.98	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	0	2	4	-	-	-	1.88	1.45	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.67	3.5	5.5	1.14	1.28	2.1	-	-	1.22	4.33	2	1.85	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.6% | ROI +2.6% | n=495 | k=2.00

2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.1% | EV -5.6% | ROI +10.2% | n=495 | k=2.67

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.9% | EV -9.0% | ROI -9.9% | n=495 | k=1.85

4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -6.1% | EV -12.7% | ROI -14.7% | n=495 | k=2.10

AI-agent: At 37 minutes into the Alaves vs Ath Bilbao match, Alaves leads 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 38% drop in odds from pre-match levels, matching the active shot count from Alaves. The game tempo is balanced without sustained pressure from either side recently. Historical data on similar situations shows a slight edge for over 2.5 goals with a 51.3% chance and modest ROI, supported by a fair odds check. The model suggests a potential bet on over 2.5 goals with a small positive edge, but this does not meet the minimum threshold for placing a bet yet. This is a monitoring phase rather than a clear entry opportunity, so caution is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 37