Match Replay

Step 28 of 64. Current minute: 44 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	-	2.75	1.98	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	0	2	4	-	-	-	1.88	1.43	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.67	3.4	6	1.12	1.3	2.1	-	-	1.3	3.5	2.25	1.62	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.4% | ROI +1.4% | n=475 | k=2.25

2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -3.0% | EV -8.2% | ROI +6.8% | n=475 | k=2.75

3) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.3% | EV -2.9% | ROI +4.0% | n=475 | k=1.30

4) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -2.4% | EV -3.1% | ROI -5.3% | n=475 | k=1.30

AI-agent: At the 44th minute, Alaves leads Ath Bilbao 1-0 in a closely contested LaLiga match. Market pressure favors the home side, with odds dropping 38% from pre-match levels, reflecting their slight dominance in shots. The game tempo is balanced without sustained pressure from either side in recent minutes, and the current score aligns well with the match flow and previous head-to-head data, though historical checks are moderate. The best betting candidate is over 2.5 goals with a small model edge (+0.2%) and positive expected value (+0.4%), but this edge is below the threshold for opening a bet. Thus, this is a watch situation rather than a firm betting opportunity, and risk control advises caution.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 44