Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	1.95	2.75	2.15	-	-
Away	1	0	0	5	1	4	4	-	-	-	1.73	1.43	1.9

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.75	2.2	3	1.36	1.61	1.25	-	-	-	-	1.4	2.85	2.85	1.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +42.2% | EV +80.1% | ROI +74.0% | n=321 | k=1.90

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +23.2% | EV +33.0% | ROI +20.6% | n=321 | k=1.42

3) Watch | HOME | Edge +0.3% | EV +1.2% | ROI +19.2% | n=321 | k=3.75

4) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -2.5% | EV -4.1% | ROI -1.4% | n=321 | k=1.61

AI-agent: At the 51st minute with the score tied 1-1 between Alaves and Ath Bilbao, the market is favoring a draw, reflected by a 33% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Shot data does not clearly favor either side, though the visitors have applied more pressure recently. The match tempo and score align with a balanced game, with Alaves showing more activity than in their last meeting, while Ath Bilbao is below their usual level. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1.5, showing a 91.6% win rate and 74% ROI over 321 matches. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1.5 as the best value bet with a 42.2% edge and 80.1% expected value, but entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and stats are not yet met. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, so caution and risk control are advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 51