Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	1.95	2.75	2.2	-	-
Away	1	0	0	5	1	4	4	-	-	-	1.7	1.43	1.9

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4	2.1	3	1.36	1.67	1.22	-	-	-	-	1.45	2.67	3.1	1.35

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +42.7% | EV +81.2% | ROI +75.6% | n=331 | k=1.90

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +24.0% | EV +34.2% | ROI +22.5% | n=331 | k=1.42

3) Watch | HOME | Edge +0.2% | EV +1.0% | ROI +17.2% | n=331 | k=4.00

4) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -2.5% | EV -4.1% | ROI -3.4% | n=331 | k=1.67

AI-agent: At the 54th minute of the Alaves vs Ath Bilbao match, the score is tied at 1-1 with no red cards. Market activity shows a strong lean towards a draw, with odds dropping 36% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current scoreline. Shot data does not clearly favor either side, though recent play indicates pressure from the visitors. Historical data supports a positive outlook on the away handicap +1.5, with a 92.4% win rate and a 75.6% ROI over 331 matches, confirming a solid edge. However, the model has not triggered a bet yet due to current match conditions not meeting entry criteria. This is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet, with the best candidate being the away handicap +1.5 at odds of 1.90, which offers a significant expected value but requires cautious risk management.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 54