Match Replay

Step 42 of 64. Current minute: 61 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	1.95	2.75	2.12	-	-
Away	1	0	0	5	1	4	4	-	-	-	1.75	1.43	1.9

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4	1.95	3.4	1.3	1.73	1.22	-	-	-	-	1.61	2.3	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +43.7% | EV +83.0% | ROI +79.6% | n=364 | k=1.90

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.1% | EV +35.8% | ROI +26.3% | n=364 | k=1.42

3) Watch | HOME | Edge +0.4% | EV +1.6% | ROI +1.1% | n=364 | k=4.00

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.5% | EV -0.9% | ROI -5.1% | n=364 | k=1.61

AI-agent: At the 61st minute with the score tied at 1-1 between Alaves and Ath Bilbao, the market strongly favors a draw, reflected by a 41% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The recent phase shows pressure from the visitors, though shot data does not clearly favor either side. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1.5, with a 94.5% win rate and an ROI near 80%, but the current model has not triggered a bet due to unmet entry conditions related to the match tempo and score dynamics. This is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, with the best candidate being the away handicap +1.5 offering a significant expected value but requiring careful risk management.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 61