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Match Replay

Step 47 of 64. Current minute: 67 .
Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Ath Bilbao | 02.05.2026 | 21:30:00 | LIVE 67'   —   Alaves 2:1 Ath Bilbao
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 4 2 2 1 - 4.4 2.25 1.98 - -
Away 1 0 0 5 1 4 4 - - - 1.88 1.68 1.2
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.3 4 19 1.02 1.22 3.4 - - - - - - 1.82 2.02
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +0.4% | EV +0.8% | ROI +28.6% | n=365 | k=1.68
2) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -0.4% | EV -1.4% | ROI -5.9% | n=365 | k=3.40
3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -3.6% | EV -7.2% | ROI -3.0% | n=365 | k=2.02
4) No Bet | DRAW | Edge -4.6% | EV -18.5% | ROI -3.8% | n=365 | k=4.00
AI-agent: At the 67th minute in the Alaves vs Ath Bilbao match, the score is 2-1 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home team, reflected by a 52% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side. The recent phase shows home team pressure, but the score aligns with a balanced game flow. Historically, Ath Bilbao +1 handicap has a strong record in similar situations with a 94.9% win rate and 28.6% ROI, confirmed by a solid sample of 365 matches. The best current betting option is Ath Bilbao +1 at 1.68 odds, offering a slight edge (+0.4%) and positive expected value (+0.8%), but this edge is below the threshold to open a bet. This is a monitoring opportunity rather than a mandatory bet, so caution is advised despite the promising historical data and model signals.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 67