Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	6	3	3	2	-	4.8	2.4	1.98	-	-
Away	1	0	0	5	1	4	4	-	-	-	1.88	1.6	1.18

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.3	4	21	1.01	1.22	3.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.95	1.9

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.3% | EV -0.4% | ROI -6.5% | n=176 | k=1.60

2) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -3.6% | EV -6.8% | ROI +0.4% | n=176 | k=1.90

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -3.9% | EV -9.4% | ROI +5.3% | n=176 | k=2.40

4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -0.4% | EV -1.5% | ROI -20.8% | n=176 | k=3.40

AI-agent: At the 74th minute in the Alaves vs Ath Bilbao match, the score is 2-1 with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw, with odds dropping 52% from pre-match levels considering the current score. The home team has been more active in shots and is pressing strongly in the recent phase, reflecting the match flow well. Historical data for similar situations is weak and shows a negative ROI, and the model's edge is slightly negative at -0.3%, so no bet is recommended currently. This is a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity, and caution is advised given the uncertain expected value and historical performance.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 74