Match Replay

Step 55 of 64. Current minute: 83 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	6	3	3	2	-	4.8	2.4	2.35	-	-
Away	2	0	0	6	2	4	4	-	-	-	1.62	1.6	1.18

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
7	1.4	5	1.17	2.75	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.4% | EV +53.5% | ROI +50.8% | n=144 | k=1.60

2) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -1.7% | EV -4.6% | ROI -25.5% | n=144 | k=2.75

3) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -0.1% | EV -0.6% | ROI -41.0% | n=144 | k=5.00

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -17.2% | EV -82.7% | ROI -100.0% | n=144 | k=4.80

AI-agent: At the 83rd minute, the score is tied 2-2 between Alaves and Ath Bilbao. Market pressure is clearly favoring the away team, with odds dropping by 61% from pre-match levels, reflecting their stronger shot activity and recent dominance. Historical data strongly supports a +1 Asian Handicap for the away side, showing a 100% win rate in similar situations with a 50.8% ROI. The model identifies a significant edge (+33.4%) and expected value (+53.5%) on this bet at odds of 1.60. However, the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and match stats are not fully met, so this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet. Caution is advised despite the promising indicators, and this should be monitored closely for potential future opportunities.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 83