Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	7	4	3	3	-	4.8	2.4	1.98	1.82	6.25
Away	4	0	0	9	4	5	6	-	1.12	2.02	1.88	1.6	1.18

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.7	3.3	2.6	1.44	1.3	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +47.8% | EV +124.4% | ROI +160.0% | n=17 | k=2.60

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +29.6% | EV +47.3% | ROI +60.0% | n=17 | k=1.60

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +20.6% | EV +28.9% | ROI +40.0% | n=17 | k=1.40

4) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +17.3% | EV +22.5% | ROI +30.0% | n=17 | k=1.30

AI-agent: At the 90th minute, Alaves trails Ath Bilbao 2-4 in this LaLiga match. The market shows no strong signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels, reflecting the current scoreline. Shot data does not clearly favor either side, though the visitors have applied more pressure recently. Historical checks for similar situations are weak and do not support a home handicap bet. The model identifies a potential edge on AH_HOME+1.5 with high expected value, but the entry window closed after the 86th minute, so no bet is advised now. Top-4 markets suggest monitoring away options with positive edges but no mandatory bets, indicating a watchful approach rather than an active stake at this late stage.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 90