Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.5	1.35	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	-	3.1	1.5	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.8	3.75	4.33	1.2	1.25	1.91	-	-	1.08	8	1.44	2.75	2.3	1.61

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -1.2% | EV -5.2% | ROI +79.2% | n=2302 | k=4.33

2) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -4.2% | EV -6.2% | ROI +23.4% | n=2302 | k=1.50

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.4% | EV -12.0% | ROI +46.2% | n=2302 | k=2.75

4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -7.2% | EV -13.8% | ROI +38.2% | n=2302 | k=1.91

AI-agent: At 8 minutes into the match, Alaves leads 1-0 against Ath Bilbao. The market favors the home team, with odds dropping 33% from pre-match levels, reflecting their active play and shot advantage so far. However, the model suggests a potential value in an away win based on historical data showing a 35.8% probability and strong ROI of 79.2%, but current expected value and edge are negative, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation rather than a clear entry opportunity, especially given the balanced pressure and lack of sustained dominance by either side.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 8