Match Replay

Step 9 of 64. Current minute: 13 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	-	-	2.5	1.98	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	-	1.88	1.5	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.73	3.6	4.5	1.18	1.25	2	-	-	1.1	7	1.5	2.62	2.5	1.53

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.5% | EV -1.2% | ROI +16.5% | n=351 | k=2.50

2) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.5% | EV -0.8% | ROI +4.3% | n=351 | k=1.50

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -4.8% | EV -7.3% | ROI -10.5% | n=351 | k=1.53

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -6.2% | EV -9.3% | ROI -17.2% | n=351 | k=1.50

AI-agent: At 13 minutes into the match, Alaves leads 1-0 against Ath Bilbao. The market favors the home side, with odds dropping 36% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score and Alaves' slightly higher shot activity. However, there is no sustained pressure from either team recently, and the score aligns with the match flow. Historical data for similar situations shows a moderate positive ROI of 16.5% on the home -1 handicap, but the current model edge is slightly negative at -0.5%, below the threshold for a confident bet. Therefore, this is a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity, with no recommended bets on the main markets due to the risk and expected value considerations.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 13