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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	1.95	1.35	1.98	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	0	2	4	-	-	-	1.88	3.1	1.9

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.22	6	13	1.04	1.12	4	-	-	1.04	13	1.4	2.85	2.6	1.48

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +9.8% | EV +18.5% | ROI +38.7% | n=467 | k=1.90

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.3% | EV +16.6% | ROI +58.0% | n=467 | k=3.10

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.5% | EV -12.9% | ROI +62.9% | n=467 | k=2.85

4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -2.3% | EV -9.3% | ROI +61.9% | n=467 | k=4.00

AI-agent: At halftime, Alaves leads Ath Bilbao 1-0, but the market has shifted significantly in favor of the away side, with odds dropping by 40% from pre-match levels considering the current score. Despite the lead, there is no clear dominance in shots or sustained pressure from either team, and the match tempo is balanced, resembling their previous encounter where the score was 0-0 at this stage. Historical data supports a strong value on the away handicap +1.5, showing a 73% win rate and a 38.7% ROI over 467 matches. The model identifies an edge of +9.8% and an expected value of +18.5% on this handicap at odds of 1.90, but the entry conditions based on current match dynamics are not yet met. This is a watch situation rather than a firm betting opportunity, so caution is advised while monitoring the game for potential entry points.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 45