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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	1.95	2.75	2.15	-	-
Away	1	0	0	5	1	4	4	-	-	-	1.73	1.43	1.9

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4	2.05	3.2	1.33	1.67	1.22	-	-	-	-	1.53	2.5	3.5	1.3

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +43.1% | EV +81.9% | ROI +76.3% | n=346 | k=1.90

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +24.4% | EV +34.8% | ROI +23.5% | n=346 | k=1.42

3) Watch | HOME | Edge +0.5% | EV +2.0% | ROI +11.0% | n=346 | k=4.00

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.7% | EV -1.1% | ROI -3.4% | n=346 | k=1.53

AI-agent: At the 56th minute, the score is tied at 1-1 between Alaves and Ath Bilbao, with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw, reflected by a 38% drop in odds from pre-match levels, and the game tempo shows recent pressure from the visitors. Shot data does not clearly favor either side, and the match progression aligns closely with their previous encounter, which ended 0-1. Historical analysis strongly supports an away handicap +1.5 bet with a 92.8% win rate and a 76.3% ROI, offering a significant edge and expected value. However, the current model has not triggered a bet due to unmet entry conditions based on the live score, tempo, and stats. The top-4 market view recommends watching the away +1.5 handicap option as a promising candidate but advises caution and no mandatory bet at this stage.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 56