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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	1.95	2.75	2.1	-	-
Away	1	0	0	5	1	4	4	-	-	-	1.77	1.43	1.9

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.33	1.83	3.6	1.25	1.83	1.2	-	-	-	-	1.73	2.1	4.5	1.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +43.7% | EV +83.0% | ROI +81.4% | n=355 | k=1.90

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.2% | EV +35.9% | ROI +28.1% | n=355 | k=1.42

3) Watch | HOME | Edge +0.5% | EV +2.1% | ROI +1.3% | n=355 | k=4.33

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.3% | EV -0.6% | ROI -5.6% | n=355 | k=1.73

AI-agent: At 64 minutes with the score tied 1-1 between Alaves and Ath Bilbao, the market strongly favors a draw, with odds dropping 44% from pre-match levels. Shot data does not clearly support either side, though Ath Bilbao has applied more pressure recently. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last encounter, which ended 0-1. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1.5, showing a 95.5% win rate and an 81.4% ROI over 355 matches. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1.5 as the best option with a 43.7% edge and 83.0% expected value, but the entry conditions are not yet met due to the current score and match tempo. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, so caution is advised despite the promising statistics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 64