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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	4	2	2	1	-	4.4	2.25	1.98	-	-
Away	1	0	0	5	1	4	4	-	-	-	1.88	1.68	1.2

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.3	4	19	1.02	1.22	3.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.82	2.02

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +0.4% | EV +0.8% | ROI +28.6% | n=365 | k=1.68

2) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -0.4% | EV -1.4% | ROI -5.9% | n=365 | k=3.40

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -3.6% | EV -7.2% | ROI -3.0% | n=365 | k=2.02

4) No Bet | DRAW | Edge -4.6% | EV -18.5% | ROI -3.8% | n=365 | k=4.00

AI-agent: At the 67th minute in the Alaves vs Ath Bilbao match, the score is 2-1 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home team, reflected by a 52% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side. The recent phase shows home team pressure, but the score aligns with a balanced game flow. Historically, Ath Bilbao +1 handicap has a strong record in similar situations with a 94.9% win rate and 28.6% ROI, confirmed by a solid sample of 365 matches. The best current betting option is Ath Bilbao +1 at 1.68 odds, offering a slight edge (+0.4%) and positive expected value (+0.8%), but this edge is below the threshold to open a bet. This is a monitoring opportunity rather than a mandatory bet, so caution is advised despite the promising historical data and model signals.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 67