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Spain | LaLiga | Alaves - Ath Bilbao | 02.05.2026 | 21:30:00 | LIVE 72'   —   Alaves 2:1 Ath Bilbao
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 4 2 2 1 - 4.65 2.35 1.98 - -
Away 1 0 0 5 1 4 4 - - - 1.88 1.62 1.18
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.3 4 21 1.01 1.22 3.4 - - - - - - 1.93 1.93
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.0% | EV -0.0% | ROI -4.6% | n=179 | k=1.62
2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -4.1% | EV -9.6% | ROI +2.2% | n=179 | k=2.35
3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -3.6% | EV -6.8% | ROI -5.4% | n=179 | k=1.92
4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -0.4% | EV -1.5% | ROI -12.6% | n=179 | k=3.40
AI-agent: At 72 minutes in the Alaves 2-1 Ath Bilbao match, the market is favoring the home team with odds dropping 52% from pre-match levels, reflecting their current lead. However, shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side, and the game tempo remains balanced. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support a positive expected return on the away handicap +1 bet. The model identifies this bet as a candidate but does not confirm entry due to zero edge and EV. Top-4 market analysis agrees with no bet recommendation, indicating this is a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 72