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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	6	3	3	2	-	4.8	2.4	2.1	-	-
Away	2	0	0	5	1	4	4	-	-	-	1.77	1.6	1.18

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.75	1.61	4	1.22	2.2	1.17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.1% | EV +53.0% | ROI -6.5% | n=176 | k=1.60

2) Watch | HOME | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.3% | ROI -0.3% | n=176 | k=4.75

3) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -0.3% | EV -0.6% | ROI -1.4% | n=176 | k=2.20

4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -0.9% | EV -3.8% | ROI -16.5% | n=176 | k=4.00

AI-agent: At 74 minutes with the score tied 2-2 between Alaves and Ath Bilbao, the market strongly favors a draw, reflected by a 52% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The home side has been more active in shots and is applying pressure in the latest phase, matching the overall balanced scoreline. Historical data for away handicap +1 shows a slight positive edge but with negative ROI and a weak historical check, so caution is advised. The model suggests a potential value bet on Ath Bilbao +1 handicap with good expected value and edge, but entry conditions based on current match dynamics are not met yet. This is a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity, and risk control should be maintained.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 74