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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	6	3	3	2	-	4.8	2.4	1.98	2.05	1.15
Away	3	0	0	6	2	4	5	-	5.5	1.8	1.88	1.6	1.18

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
67	6.5	1.11	6.5	1.11	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.6% | EV +53.8% | ROI +50.8% | n=144 | k=1.60

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +34.5% | EV +70.7% | ROI NA | n=144 | k=2.05

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -38.8% | EV -69.9% | ROI NA | n=144 | k=1.80

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -14.0% | EV -76.8% | ROI NA | n=144 | k=5.50

AI-agent: At the 83rd minute, Alaves trails Ath Bilbao 2-3 in a closely contested LaLiga match. Market pressure favors the visitors, with odds dropping significantly from pre-match levels, reflecting their recent dominance in shots and tempo. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not confirm a clear betting edge despite a model signal favoring Alaves +1.5 handicap with positive expected value. Top-4 market analysis suggests watching Asian Handicap lines on both sides but advises against new bets due to risk and unconfirmed entry rules. This is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet opportunity.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391149 | minute: 83