Match Replay

Step 10 of 84. Current minute: 11 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.6	1.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	-	-	-	3	1.48	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.91	3.5	4	1.22	1.28	1.8	1.06	10	1.3	3.5	1.98	1.88	3.4	1.33

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +13.0% | EV +51.9% | ROI +43.4% | n=530 | k=4.00

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +9.7% | EV +17.5% | ROI +17.2% | n=530 | k=1.80

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.0% | EV +7.3% | ROI +13.9% | n=530 | k=1.48

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.0% | EV -2.1% | ROI +1.4% | n=530 | k=1.98

AI-agent: At 11 minutes into the Celta vs Elche match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is clearly favoring the away team, Elche, whose odds have dropped by 16% since pre-match, reflecting strong backing. Despite Celta starting as favorites, Elche leads in shots and overall activity, showing more intensity than in their previous encounter. Historical data supports an away win with a 35.8% probability and a solid ROI of 43.4%, confirmed by a large sample of 530 matches. The model identifies an edge of +13.0% and an expected value of +51.9% on an away win at odds of 4.00, but the entry conditions are not yet met due to the current score and match tempo. Top-4 market signals suggest watching the away win and related bets rather than placing a firm stake now, emphasizing risk control and monitoring rather than immediate action.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 11