Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	-	2.15	1.55	1.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	-	-	-	3	2.38	1.68

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.33	4.75	10	1.06	1.17	3.25	-	-	1.1	7	1.5	2.62	2.5	1.53

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +10.8% | EV +35.0% | ROI +11.8% | n=125 | k=3.25

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +7.6% | EV +17.9% | ROI +12.1% | n=125 | k=2.38

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +2.6% | EV +12.5% | ROI -1.2% | n=125 | k=4.75

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.2% | EV -3.3% | ROI +14.0% | n=125 | k=1.50

AI-agent: At 24 minutes into the Celta vs Elche match, Celta leads 1-0, but the market pressure is clearly favoring the away side, with odds for Elche's double chance (X2) dropping 22% from pre-match levels. Despite Celta's lead, Elche has been more active in shots and overall play, indicating a tempo advantage. Historical data supports backing Elche or a draw in similar situations, showing a positive ROI of 11.8% over 125 matches. The model identifies a +10.8% edge and +35.0% expected value on the X2 bet at odds of 3.25, but the entry criteria are not fully met yet, so this is a watch situation rather than a firm bet. Risk control advises monitoring the game further before committing stakes.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 24