Match Replay

Step 28 of 84. Current minute: 29 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	-	2.2	2.2	1.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	-	-	-	3	1.65	1.65

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.05	12	29	1.01	1.04	10	-	-	-	-	1.12	6	1.61	2.3

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +30.3% | EV +66.8% | ROI -16.7% | n=134 | k=2.20

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +18.3% | EV +40.2% | ROI -21.2% | n=134 | k=2.20

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.1% | EV -2.5% | ROI -22.4% | n=134 | k=2.30

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.3% | EV -8.1% | ROI -36.5% | n=134 | k=6.00

AI-agent: At 29 minutes into the match, Celta leads Elche 2-0 with no red cards. The market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 38% drop in odds from pre-match levels, despite Elche having more shots on goal. The hosts are applying pressure in the recent phase, and while the scoreline favors Celta, the game dynamics show Elche as more active. Historical data on similar situations with a -1 handicap for the home team shows a nearly 50% win rate but a negative ROI of -16.7%, indicating weak historical support. The model signals a value bet on Celta -1 handicap with an edge of +30.3% and expected value of +66.8%, but the entry is not confirmed due to the historical check failing. The top markets suggest watching this handicap bet rather than placing it now, emphasizing risk control and monitoring rather than mandatory action.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 29