Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	2	2	0	0	-	2.2	2.2	1.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	2	1	1	-	-	-	3	1.65	1.65

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.05	12	29	1.01	1.04	10	-	-	-	-	1.14	5.5	1.67	2.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +30.8% | EV +67.7% | ROI +68.8% | n=43 | k=2.20

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +19.9% | EV +43.7% | ROI +43.3% | n=43 | k=2.20

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.2% | EV -2.6% | ROI -2.8% | n=43 | k=2.20

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.5% | EV -8.2% | ROI -23.3% | n=43 | k=5.50

AI-agent: At 35 minutes in the Celta vs Elche match, Celta leads 2-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 38% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not strongly confirm dominance. Recent play shows no sustained pressure from either team. Historical data supports a strong edge for the home handicap -1 with an 87.5% win rate and a 68.8% ROI over 43 matches, confirmed by the model with a 30.8% edge and 67.7% expected value at odds of 2.20. The best betting opportunity is on AH_HOME-1, but since this position is already held or covered, no new bet is advised now. Other markets like AH_HOME-1.5 are worth monitoring, while under 3.5 and under 2.5 goals show negative expected value and are not recommended.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 35