Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.3	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	1.6	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.73	3.75	4.75	1.17	1.25	2	1.05	11	1.22	4.33	1.73	2.1	2.75	1.44

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +12.3% | EV +58.5% | ROI +74.1% | n=682 | k=4.75

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +10.0% | EV +20.0% | ROI +29.9% | n=682 | k=2.00

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.9% | EV +4.6% | ROI +21.8% | n=682 | k=1.60

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.2% | EV -3.7% | ROI +1.0% | n=682 | k=1.73

AI-agent: At 4 minutes into the Celta vs Elche match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is balanced without a clear signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels, and shot data does not favor either side. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last encounter, which also stood 0-0 at this stage before finishing 2-1. Historical data from 682 similar matches shows a 36.7% probability and a strong ROI of 74.1% for an away win, with a fair odds estimate of 2.73. The model identifies an edge of +12.3% and an expected value of +58.5% for an away win at odds of 4.75, but the entry conditions are not yet met due to current score, tempo, and match stats. The top markets suggest watching the away win and double chance on the away team, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a firm betting opportunity. Caution is advised as over 2.5 goals is currently not recommended due to negative expected value.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 4