Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	2	2	0	2	-	1.32	2.2	1.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	7	3	4	1	-	-	-	3	1.65	3.3

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.05	13	34	1	1.04	11	-	-	-	-	1.3	3.5	2.35	1.57

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.0% | EV +70.3% | ROI +71.2% | n=59 | k=2.20

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.5% | EV +8.3% | ROI +6.3% | n=59 | k=3.30

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -2.5% | EV -3.9% | ROI -11.9% | n=59 | k=1.57

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.3% | EV -4.3% | ROI +12.4% | n=59 | k=1.30

AI-agent: At the 52nd minute of the Celta vs Elche match, Celta leads 2-0, with no red cards yet. The market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 38% drop in odds from pre-match levels, despite Elche having more shots and applying pressure recently. Historical data supports a bet on Celta with a -1 handicap, showing an 87% win rate and a 71.2% ROI over 59 matches. The model confirms this with a 32% edge and 70.3% expected value at odds of 2.20. Since the position is already open or covered, no new bet is advised now. This is a strong betting opportunity on Celta -1, but risk should be managed carefully given the guests' active play and pressure.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 52