Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	2	2	0	2	-	1.32	2.2	1.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	8	3	5	1	-	-	-	3	1.65	3.3

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.04	13	41	1	1.04	11	-	-	-	-	1.33	3.4	2.5	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.1% | EV +70.7% | ROI +68.6% | n=56 | k=2.20

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.1% | EV +6.8% | ROI +12.0% | n=56 | k=3.30

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -3.1% | EV -4.6% | ROI -14.3% | n=56 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.5% | EV -3.3% | ROI +14.3% | n=56 | k=1.33

AI-agent: At the 55th minute with Celta leading 2-0 against Elche, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 39% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Despite Elche having more shots and applying pressure recently, Celta remains more active compared to their previous meeting, while Elche is underperforming. Historical data supports a handicap bet on Celta -1 with an 86% win rate and a solid ROI of 68.6%. The model confirms this with a significant edge of +32.1% and expected value of +70.7%, although no new bet is opened as the position is already covered. This is a favorable betting opportunity on Celta -1, but risk should be managed carefully given the ongoing pressure from Elche.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 55