Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.38	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	-	-	-	-	1.55	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.8	3.6	4.33	1.2	1.25	1.91	1.05	11	1.25	4	1.85	2	3.2	1.36

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +12.5% | EV +54.3% | ROI +56.8% | n=633 | k=4.33

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +10.2% | EV +19.5% | ROI +23.9% | n=633 | k=1.91

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +6.2% | EV +9.6% | ROI +19.1% | n=633 | k=1.55

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.2% | EV -2.3% | ROI +3.5% | n=633 | k=1.85

AI-agent: At 6 minutes into the Celta vs Elche match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is clearly favoring the away team, Elche, whose odds have dropped by 9% since pre-match, reflecting strong backing. Despite Celta starting as favorites, Elche leads in shots and overall activity, showing more intensity than in their last meeting. Historical data supports an away win with a 36.2% probability and a solid ROI of 56.8%, confirmed by a large sample of 633 matches. The model identifies an edge of +12.5% and an expected value of +54.3% for an Elche win at odds of 4.33, but the entry conditions are not yet met due to the current score and match tempo. The top markets suggest watching the away win and double chance on Elche, while avoiding over 2.5 goals for now. This is a monitoring situation with promising signals but no mandatory bet at this stage.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 6