Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	2	2	0	2	-	1.3	2.2	1.38	-	-
Away	0	0	0	11	3	8	1	-	-	-	3	1.65	3.45

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.03	15	51	1	1.03	13	-	-	-	-	1.57	2.38	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +34.2% | EV +75.3% | ROI +67.8% | n=49 | k=2.20

2) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.6% | EV -4.1% | ROI +18.6% | n=49 | k=1.57

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -0.8% | EV -2.7% | ROI +26.7% | n=49 | k=3.45

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.1% | EV -7.5% | ROI -41.8% | n=49 | k=2.38

AI-agent: At 67 minutes, Celta leads Elche 2-0 in LaLiga, with no red cards yet. Despite the scoreline, Elche is pressing strongly and has more shots, but the market favors Celta, whose odds have dropped 39% from pre-match levels. Historical data supports a handicap bet on Celta -1 with an 88.6% win rate and a 67.8% ROI over 49 matches. The model confirms a strong edge (+34.2%) and expected value (+75.3%) for this bet at odds of 2.20, though no new position is opened as it may already be covered. This is the best betting opportunity currently, but risk should be managed carefully given the guests' pressure and the score not fully reflecting the game flow.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1391151 | minute: 67